Thursday, 19 February 2015

GUARDED OPTIMISM

The euro traded at $1.1364, off Thursday's high of $1.1450. It has largely stuck to a narrow $1.1300-1.1450 range this week, as all eyes remain on talks between Greece and the euro zone.
With Greece's EU/IMF bailout program due to expire on Feb. 28, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, who won power promising to ditch the bailout, urgently needs to secure a financial lifeline to keep the country afloat beyond late March.

So far, guarded optimism is prevailing in the market, chiefly on the grounds that failure to strike a deal would be too costly for both as it could risk a Greek debt default and exit from the euro.

On Thursday, Germany rejected a Greek proposal for a six-month extension to its euro zone loan agreement, ahead of the euro zone finance ministers' meeting on Friday.

But in a document seen by Reuters, Greece appeared to have moved substantially toward the position taken by euro zone finance ministers in negotiations on Monday that ended without a deal, as Athens vowed to ditch the 240 billion euro bailout program.

Yields on Greek and other lower-rated euro zone bonds slid on Thursday on hopes of an agreement.

"The market is used to seeing this by now, but if a deal isn't reached today, the euro could face selling pressure and dollar/yen could also see the same as risk appetite will be hurt," he said.

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